Written by Keith Williams
21 December 2018
UNAVCO has been supporting NSF-funded GPS observations in the Ganges-Brahmaputa Delta of Bangladesh since 2003. GPS position estimates collected from the deployed instruments have provided evidence that there is 13-17 mm shortening across this region per year. Initially, it was proposed that the GPS-constrained surface strain could be resolved on a horizontal, strike-slip fault, but additional analysis suggests that this the strain is more likely related to locking along a plate interface or mega thrust fault (Steckler et al., 2016).
To gain a better understanding of the underlying fault system and the entire IndoBurman subduction zone, researchers are installing a large broadband seismic array across Bangladesh, India, and into Myanmar. In addition, cGPS has been installed within the array to better determine the surface deformation across the entire system. In Bangladesh the seismometers were spaced at 5-10km to image shallow as well as deep crustal features, and six continuous GPS (cGPS) station were installed along a 100km portion of this array.
Bangladesh is a very densely populated region with much of the population residing on soft delta sediments. Recent studies have shown that this area, with a population of 160 million, could be at risk of at least a Mw8.2 earthquake. The delta is depressing the underlying crust with 16-20km of sediment; this sediment will likely amplify low frequency ground shaking, which can lead to liquefaction and strong surface shaking that can destroy buildings. A better understanding of this earthquake potential should help to guide policy on building construction to minimize the damage caused to new construction.
Research is ongoing to understand the growth and development of the IndoBurman subduction zone, which is the only subduction zone that is entirely on land due to its extreme amount of sediments. There is evidence of a moderate Mw7 or a large Mw8.5 that caused a 20km shift of the Meghna River to the west, constrained by dating of the river sediments deposited before the shift to within the last 3600-3800 years.
Proposed locations for the six cGPS sites had been selected during the early planning stages of the project using satellite imagery and seismic maps of the region. cGPS site locations were established along the seismometer array to provide the best constraints on the geological structure. They were positioned to lie on different structural settings on the train of anticlines and synclines in the IndoBurman ranges composed of folded sediments of the delta. These poject goals constrained station locations to within a range of several kilometers. Due to very dense vegetation in the area, and intermittent cellular service to transmit data back to UNAVCO, a good deal of scouting was done for each site. We were very fortunate to find that the Bangladesh primary schools were well constructed reinforced concrete buildings, and typically had soccer fields around them that kept vegetation at bay. One of the sites, JURI, had been installed in early 2007; this site was placed on a three story building that had all vegetation around it cleared in the construction of the building. Returning just over ten years later, we found that a number of trees had grown up over the top of the building and the old antenna location was entirely covered. We were able to have all of the trees removed to be able to reoccupy this site, and the building owner will continue to keep the vegetation trimmed back.
Mike Steckler's State of the Planet blog posts:
Last modified: Friday, 21-Dec-2018 21:13:57 UTC